Tag Archives | gdp

Economy to Grow 1.5% in 2018, 4.5% in 2019

By John Lee. The Iraqi economy is forecast to grow 1.5 percent in 2018, according to a report from BMI Research, a unit of rating agency Fitch. It goes on to predict that the economy will jump 4.5 percent in 2019 as a result of reconstruction efforts. (Source: MENAFN)

“It’s Not the Donations, Stupid”: Key Points from Kuwait Conference

By Ahmed Tabaqchali (pictured), CIO of Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) Iraq Fund. Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News. ‘It’s Not the Donations, Stupid’: Key Points from the Kuwait Conference With a few exceptions, the coverage of the “Kuwait International Conference for the […]

IMF: “Iraq is Facing a Double Shock”

On August 1, 2017, the Executive Board of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) concluded the 2017 Article IV consultation with Iraq. Iraq is facing a double shock arising from the conflict with ISIS and the plunge in oil prices. In 2016, real GDP increased by 11 percent owing to a 25 percent increase in oil production, which was […]

Sharp Recovery in Non-Oil GDP Predicted

By John Lee. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has predicted average growth of 3.1 percent annually in Iraq’s non-oil real GDP until the end of 2022. This compares to an average fall of 7.2 percent per annum from 2014 to 2016, following the insurgency by the Islamic State group (IS, ISIS, ISIL, Daesh). It also […]

IMF Revises Down GDP Forecast

By John Lee. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has revised down its forecast GDP growth for Iraq from 0.5 per cent to a contraction of 3.1 per cent this year, due to the oil production cuts agreed within OPEC. Forecasts for 2018 and 2019 are 2.6 percent and 1.6 percent growth respectively. Consumer price inflation […]

Improving Agriculture, Employment and Peace

By Dr. Layth Mahdi. Prior to the 2003 Iraq had adopted an agricultural policy based on the financial, administrative, technical and technological support from the government for the development of the agricultural and industrial sectors. This policy led to the domestic production to provide 75% of the food requirement and a GDP contribution of 7.5%. […]

IMF Expects 10.6% Growth in 2016

By John Lee. According to a report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the external outlook for Iraq has worsened since the latest Article IV consultation assessment (May-June), mainly owing to a further weakening of global oil prices. The analysis finds: “Lower capital spending on the back of falling oil revenue is expected to contract […]

GDP Forecasters See 2015 Rebound

By Mark A. DeWeaver. Last month Barcelona-based economics consultancy FocusEconomics launched an interesting new product—a survey of professional forecasters for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The section on the Iraqi economy is particularly useful given the lack of attention this subject normally receives. It includes consensus projections for 25 macro variables going […]