Tag Archives | Mark DeWeaver

Why Two Exchange Rates?

By Mark DeWeaver. Since the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) began changing the rules for its USD auctions in 2012, Iraq has been operating a de facto dual exchange rate system. (There’s a summary of some of the CBI’s recent rule changes on pages 12-14 of this report from Sansar Capital.) For those with access […]

Does ‘Mental Accounting’ Matter?

By Mark DeWeaver. ISX observers sometimes blame share price declines on people selling their recently listed bonus or rights issue shares. Such behavior would be interesting to document because it seems to imply a departure from perfect rationality. From the point of view of conventional finance theory, there just isn’t any reason to differentiate between […]

In State Banks We Trust

By Mark DeWeaver. 2013 was another strong year for deposit growth at the ISX-listed banks. Deposits at the 19 names that have so far reported year-end financials were up 17% year-on-year as of December 31. (Only BDFD and BELF, which together accounted for 8% of 2012 listed-bank deposits, have yet to report.) While their deposit […]

Iraq’s Missing Market

By Mark DeWeaver. In my last post I argued that Iraqi banks’ high cash/deposit ratios are due to the absence of an interbank market. If that is the case, you might think it would be easy to get the banks to put more of their deposits to work in the “real economy.” Couldn’t somebody (e.g. […]

Are Iraqi Banks Too Liquid?

By Mark DeWeaver. Fund managers visiting Iraq for the first time are often surprised by the large amounts of cash Iraqi banks typically hold. While the Central Bank of Iraq (CBI) requires lenders to hold 15% of their deposits in the form of vault cash and central bank reserves, most hold well over 50%. (See […]

IBN’s Expert Bloggers Lead the Way

By Padraig O’Hannelly. For readers interested in investment opportunities in Iraq, I think it’s fair to say that our Expert Bloggers have excelled themselves in recent weeks. Following the analysis of Iraq’s banking sector by InvestAD‘s Sherif Salem earlier this month, Mark DeWeaver of Quantrarian Asia Hedge has been picking through the balance sheets of […]

Good News For Foreign Investors in Iraq

Iraq’s newly-appointed President, Jalal Talabani (pictured), is apparently using his full allowance of 15 days to formally appoint a new Prime Minister, thus allowing the haggling over the details to continue. And while Nouri al-Maliki remains the ‘agreed’ candidate, we should never under-estimate the Iraqi parliament’s ability to throw us a last-minute surprise. If al-Maliki […]

Has Warka Bank Collapsed?

Speculation is rife that Iraq’s Warka Bank has collapsed, but its managing director said that it has not collapsed but has faced problems due to a recent decision of the Iraqi government to withdraw over $1.6 billion from the bank. Our resident blogger on economic issues, Mark DeWeaver, recently reported on the mysteries of Warka’s rights issue. […]

Iraq’s Risks and Rewards

The visit to Iraq last weekend by US Vice-President, Joseph Biden, may help to accelerate the process of forming the next government, but the frustrating delays in reaching an agreement highlight the risks of doing business in ‘frontier’ countries. Often, though, our perception of risk can be out of step with reality, and what appears […]