National Climate Resilience Assessment for Iraq

By John Lee.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) has published its National Climate Resilience Assessment for Iraq:

Key Climate Trends

  • Iraq's warming rate (0.48°C per decade) exceeds the global average (0.37°C).
  • Projected temperature rise: 2.5°C (low-emissions) to 5.6°C (high-emissions) by 2100.
  • More extreme weather: Increased droughts in the north, heavier rainfall in the south.
  • Growing risk of floods due to intense rainfall after prolonged droughts.

Impact on Energy Sector

  • Transmission losses among highest in the world (50-60%), straining electricity supply.
  • Rising demand for air conditioning worsens grid instability during heatwaves.
  • Water scarcity threatens gas-fired plants and oil & gas operations.
  • Sandstorms may cut solar PV output by over 60%, risking Iraq's 12 GW solar target.

Necessary Interventions

  • Strengthening infrastructure: Upgrading power plants and refining operations.
  • Developing microgrids for energy security during disruptions.
  • Diversifying energy sources and integrating climate resilience into policy.
  • Enhancing disaster risk management to protect critical infrastructure.

Click here to read the full report.

(Source: IEA)

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