Northern Iraq (North and North Central Regions – including the KRG)
The Northern Region reported 26 during the period, a significant reduction on last week’s figure of 46, and more in line with the 2012 weekly average of 22. As is routine for the Northern Region, reporting featured almost exclusively in Ninawa province, with the large proportion of attacks taking place in Mosul city. Within Mosul, violence was geographically spread through all quarters. Of some note, though not especially anomalous given the overall security situation in Mosul, two incidents of SAF were detected in the southeast of the city near the suburbs of Sumer district, an area legacy reporting associates with Jaish Rijal al-Tariq al-Naqshbandia (JRTN). Additionally, a number of bodies which were discovered during this reporting period was notably higher than average, even by Mosul standards, where murder rates are assessed to be the highest in Iraq. Outside the city, incident levels remained in line with last week, though it should be noted that over the course of 2012, an overall increase in activity in areas such as Ba’aj, Sinjar, Badush and Tal Afar has been witnessed.
The North Central Region witnessed 33 incidents this week, a significant reduction on last week’s figure of 50, and just below the 2012 weekly average of 34. A slight majority (thirteen in total) of incidents occurred in Salahal-Din Province, and activity in Diyala decreased from last week. Diyala has featured heavily in recent reporting, and it’s clear from the number of Iraqi Security Forces (ISF) raids reported over the course of the last few weeks, that the province has been a focal point for ISF. This activity appears to have disrupted some extremist elements, particularly in and around Baquba, though the city still recorded just over half of all incidents detected in Diyala. Overall, there were fourteen improvised explosive device (IED) incidents, fourteen SAF incidents, one under vehicle device (UVIED), one kidnap (the victim of which was freed by ISF), and three murders. In a break from previous weeks, no VBIED or suicide initiated attacks were reported.
Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) – Only two significant incident were reported in the three provinces that comprise the KRG (Dahuk,Erbil and Sulaymaniyah), both of which occurred in Sulaymaniyah city. A family was found murdered and a police officer was injured in a shooting incident during an arrest. Both incidents were assessed to have been criminal in nature.