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Look At ‘Little Iraq’ Shows Why Iraq Is So Troubled

By Christine van den Toorn.

This article was originally published by Niqash. Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

One of the most peaceful towns in Iraq, near one of the most dangerous cities in Iraq, is under threat. Bashiqa is in danger of becoming a troubled metaphor for the conflicts that threaten the rest of Iraq.

For about a decade, Bashiqa, a small village only 30 kilometres from Mosul, arguably the most dangerous place in Iraq, has avoided the violence that has plagued the rest of the country. Until recently, that is.

At the end of October, two car bombs exploded just outside the main city checkpoint which resulted in three deaths and over twenty casualties. The checkpoint is just beyond downtown Bashiqa.

And just over a week before that during the annual holiday of Eid, two car bombs were discovered in the rural Shabak-dominated villages around Bashiqa. One exploded - though there were no casualties. The other was discovered before it was able to be detonated - many locals think it was on the way to Mam Ritha, a centuries old Shiite Muslim shrine.

Yet in the past, Bashiqa’s locals have been proud that there have been explosions everywhere in Iraq “ila Bashiqa” (“except for Bashiqa”).

Why then, has violence now come to the town after so many years?

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Russia's LUKoil "Exported Kurdish Oil"

By John Lee.

Reuters reports that LUKoil, Russian’s biggest non-state oil producer, which is believed to be considering buying ExxonMobil's stake in the West Qurna-1 oil field, has bought oil from Kurdistan in defiance of Baghdad.

Baghdad has long insisted it has the sole right to export oil, but LUKoil's Geneva-based trading arm Litasco has become the third company to buy Kurdish condensate (very light oil), five industry sources have told the news agency.

The other companies to have bought directly from Kurdistan are Trafigura and Vitol; Swiss trader Vitol has just signed a deal to sell gasoil to Iraq.

Those earlier deals provoked an angry response from the Iraqi central government, which said it had the right to "legally pursue all those who participate in smuggling", but according to Reuters Baghdad seems to be turning a blind eye on this occasion.

"After checking with concerned parties, we got confirmation that LUKoil has not purchased any kind of crude for the benefit of the KRG," said an official from Iraq's State Oil Marketing Organisation (SOMO). Iraqi government officials declined to comment.

Industry sources told Reuters that Litasco had chartered the tanker Cielo di Napoli to load around 19,000 tonnes of the Kurdish condensate from the port of Toros at Ceyhan in Turkey; The tanker sailed on 21st November.

Litasco won the tender at a $3.00 discount to naphtha prices, beating competing bids from Trafigura and Socar, one participant said, and bought the condensate through the intermediary Powertrans in a public tender.

(Source: Reuters)

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LUKoil Still Considering West Qurna-1

By John Lee.

Russian’s LUKoil is said to be studying documents on Iraq’s West Qurna-1 oil field, with a view to possibly taking over ExxonMobil's stake.

Bloomberg quotes Chief Executive Officer Vagit Alekperov (pictured) as saying that the company will make a decision on possible participation in the project by the end of the year.

It already holds 75 percent of the adjacent but separate West Qurna-2 "super giant".

“We are looking at the main issue now, synergy,” Alekperov told reporters today in Moscow. “What economic synergies the company will get if these two projects work together.”

In a separate report, LUKoil is said to have bought oil from Kurdistan in defiance of Baghdad.

(Source: Bloomberg)

Posted in Iraq Oil & Gas News 1 Comment

Baghdad, Moscow Get Closer: Business Opportunity Or Conspiracy?

By Amir Hassan Fayad.

This article was originally published by Niqash. Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

Iraq and Russia have been getting cosy lately with high ranking visitors and multi-billion dollar arms deals. Is this friendship just a business opportunity? Related to events in Syria or Iran? Or something more sinister?

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s visit to Russia as well as the making, then breaking, of a multi-billion dollar arms deal with Russia has led to plenty of questions. These include questions on the state of the Russian-Iraqi friendship, its importance to both partners and its significance in geo-political terms.

Over the past century, the relationship between Iraq and Russia may best be described as inconsistent. Or possibly as similar to the kind of relationship that a small business might have with a big, multi-national business. It makes no sense for the big business – Russia – to sacrifice its interests and alliances with other big businesses – for instance, in the West – just to make deals with the small business.

Meanwhile inside Iraq, it feels like since the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled the regime of former Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein there hasn’t been much of a cohesive, federal foreign policy. At least, not a unified one. We hear plenty of diverse opinions from the various political blocs but there is really no single spokesperson or national policy.

The recent debacle of the Russian arms deal is an excellent example. Different parties have said different things about the deal and it’s hard to know who is correct. Firstly, the Prime Minister’s office revealed there were allegations of corruption that needed to be investigated before the deal could be concluded. Other MPs accused the Iraqi deal makers of taking almost 10 percent off the total amount of the contract and profiting from it.

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Kurdish-Arab Feud: Russians and Exxon Making Things Worse

By Abdul-Khaleq Dosky.

This article was originally published by Niqash. Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

The tension between Iraqi Kurdistan and the leadership in Baghdad doesn’t seem to have diminished lately. NIQASH asked the Iraqi Kurdish why the Russians and Exxon Mobil are making things worse and why the planned national reconciliation conference won't work.

For some time now, the important Kurdish bloc in the Iraqi Parliament has been at loggerheads with the current Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki’s bloc.

Al-Maliki has been accused of consolidating power at the expense of other parties and not sticking to promises made when he formed his government in 2010. In fact, because of this, various political groups, including the Iraqi Kurds, came together earlier this year to make plans to oust him. These failed however and the most recent aim was to hold a conference for national reconciliation that would unite all political groups and get the country moving forward.

Over the course of the past year, Kurdish politicians have gone from demanding that the PM be removed from power to being the prime movers behind conciliation.

NIQASH talked to Muayad al-Tayeb, Baghdad-based spokesperson for the Kurdish voting bloc in Iraq's federal parliament, about recent events that appear to have worsened the relationship between Iraq’s Kurds and the current Prime Minister recently.

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Letting Politics Jeopardise Development

By Padraig O'Hannelly.

On the day Iraq announced that Exxon Mobil wants to abandon its business in southern Iraq in favour of potentially more profitable contracts in Iraqi Kurdistan, the Oil Ministry has cancelled a major exploration deal with Turkey's TPAO.

The reasons were described as "non-technical", with the decision coming from the cabinet; the move is widely believed to be a reaction to the political disagreements between the two counties, specifically Turkey's refusal to hand over Deputy Prime Minister Tareq al-Hashemi to face a death sentence, Turkish military incursions into Iraq, and a difference of opinion on the Syrian uprising.

Given the significance of Turkey to Iraq's economy, allowing political differences to get in the way of mutually beneficial commercial deals looks very strange -- Turkey is Iraq's biggest supplier of imported goods, and one of its top providers of foreign direct investment (FDI).

While the latest news relates to just one, state-owned, Turkish company, and to only one of that company's deals, this action will be perceived as arbitrary and capricious, and will be viewed negatively when assessing the risks of doing business in Iraq.

Posted in Blog, Iraq Industry & Trade News, Iraq Oil & Gas News, Politics 8 Comments

Iraq says Exxon to Quit West Qurna-1

By John Lee.

Exxon Mobil has informed the Iraqi government that it wants to pull out of the $50-billion West Qurna-1 oilfield project, according to a report from Reuters.

Abdul Mahdi Al Ameedi, director of the oil ministry’s Petroleum Contracts and Licensing Directorate (PCLD), said:

"Exxon has stated in its letter that it has started discussions with some international oil companies to sell its stake."

Another oil official said that Baghdad plans to reply to the letter from Exxon by Sunday, but it was unclear who would replace Exxon at the 400,000-bpd oilfield, which it works with minority partner Shell.

Some sources have suggested that Baghdad wants to replace Exxon with companies from Russia or China; Russia's LUKoil and Gazprom Neft are already working in Iraq, and LUKoil, which already runs a project to develop West Qurna-2, has said that it lacks the resources to take on a project like West Qurna-1 for the moment.

Earlier today, LUKoil signed the contract for the exploration of Block 10.

(Source: Reuters)

Posted in Iraq Oil & Gas News 3 Comments

A Subtle Warning from Eni

By John Lee.

Paolo Scaroni, the CEO of Italian oil and gas company Eni, spoke out on Wednesday to complain about the difficulties of doing business in Iraq.

"Our adrenaline rush now is not what it was when we entered Iraq", he said ,"[it's] more complex than we first thought."

On one hand, we could disregard this as a minor grumble -- he is still committed to ploughing $18 billion into the Zubair oilfield, so clearly, all things considered, he'd rather be in Iraq than out of it.

But on the other hand, it would be foolish of the Iraqi government to ignore the honest assessment of one of its biggest customers; when even a company as powerful as Eni complains of bureaucracy, sub-standard infrastructure, and political problems, then the complaints have to be taken seriously.

And the government is not ignoring these problems, but progress is much too slow for many people's liking.

The fact that Eni has confirmed that it is not moving to Iraqi Kurdistan, as ExxonMobil is expected to do, can not be seen as an endorsement of the ease of doing business in southern Iraq; if anything, the administration should be glad that it dodged a bullet.

Iraq is a complicated environment, and Upper Quartile and AAIB are the ideal partners to guide your business through the complexities of Iraqi life. For more information please contact Gavin Jones or Adrian Shaw.

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Place Your Bets: Erbil or Baghdad

The dispute between Iraq's central government and the Kurdistan Regional Government over oil contracts in northern Iraq has been dragging on for years, but it recent times we've seen developments that push the sides further apart rather than bringing them together.

While the short-term issue of payments for shipments from Iraqi Kurdistan appears to have been resolved, the old problem of recognition of oil-related contracts is causing increasing tensions; the absence of an oil law doesn't help.

If ExxonMobil really hands back the keys to West Qurna I and sets up shop openly in Kurdistan, it would send shock-waves through the industry. Essentially it would be a gamble that a more risky and speculative prospect in Kurdistan will be worth more in the long run than a relatively secure but low-margin business in the south.

Ladies and gentlemen, place your bets.

Posted in Blog, Iraq Oil & Gas News 17 Comments

Lack of Federal Oil Law Cripples Iraq's Recovery

By Thomas W Donovan, attorney at the Iraq Law Alliance.

Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.

Foreign "experts" like to depict Iraq's oil industry as a cesspit of corruption, turmoil and factional politics. In fact, however, Iraq has made real progress, and is aiming for more. But it is true that serious legal, political and technical challenges must be met if the sector's ambitious plans are to become reality.

Remember that the events of the last decade, beginning with the US-UK invasion of March 2003, have presented Iraq with far more social, economic, military, legal, political and infrastructure challenges than any of its Opec neighbours have faced.

Getting oil production up to the current level of about 3 million barrels per day (bpd) is an accomplishment in itself. Baghdad says production is at a 20-year high; the US says Iraq has now surpassed Iran in daily production.

The Iraqi government plans to keep pumping, and is bringing in major international oil companies. The government has now held four petroleum licensing rounds: in the first three, private companies bid to take over certain producing oil and gasfields from the old state monopoly company; the fourth was for exploration rights in promising areas not yet producing.

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