By Ahmed Tabaqchali (pictured), CIO of Asia Frontier Capital (AFC) Iraq Fund.
Any opinions expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Iraq Business News.
The equity market, as measured by the RSISUSD index was down -4.4% for the month, recovering from lows of -10.0%, on further declining turnover.
The average daily turnover for July was about 10% lower than the average of the prior four months in which the market was declining.
The average turnover during the up months, i.e. November-February, was about 1.8 times the levels of those of the down months (chart below) lending support to the bottoming/recovery thesis following the -68% decline from the early 2014 peak to May 2016 bottom.
Foreign selling continued to weigh on the market, but locals tend to appreciate the true values of local assets especially at extreme valuations and, at least now, seem to have acted upon this.
Mr Tabaqchali is the CIO of the AFC Iraq Fund, and is an experienced capital markets professional with over 25 years’ experience in US and MENA markets.
His comments, opinions and analyses are personal views and are intended to be for informational purposes and general interest only and should not be construed as individual investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy, sell or hold any fund or security or to adopt any investment strategy. It does not constitute legal or tax or investment advice. The information provided in this material is compiled from sources that are believed to be reliable, but no guarantee is made of its correctness, is rendered as at publication date and may change without notice and it is not intended as a complete analysis of every material fact regarding Iraq, the region, market or investment.